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茶叶科学 ›› 2011, Vol. 31 ›› Issue (3): 273-282.doi: 10.13305/j.cnki.jts.2011.03.013

• • 上一篇    

中国茶产业2020年发展规模分析

江用文, 陈霄雄, 朱建淼, 杨双旭   

  1. 中国农业科学院茶叶研究所,浙江 杭州 310008
  • 收稿日期:2011-02-14 修回日期:2011-04-05 出版日期:2011-06-15 发布日期:2019-09-06
  • 作者简介:江用文(1965— ),男,安徽怀宁人,研究员,主要从事茶叶加工和茶业发展战略研究。jiangyw@mail.tricaas.com
  • 基金资助:
    中国工程院咨询研究项目“中国茶产业可持续发展战略研究”

Analysis on Development Scale ofChineseTea Industry in 2020

JIANG Yong-wen, CHEN Xiao-xiong, ZHU Jian-miao, YANG Shuang-xu   

  1. Tea Research Institute, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Hangzhou 310008, China
  • Received:2011-02-14 Revised:2011-04-05 Online:2011-06-15 Published:2019-09-06

摘要: 总结分析了21世纪以来我国茶产业取得的成就和发展特点;对今后5~10年我国茶产业发展的外部环境、供给能力与茶叶需求的变化进行了预测,认为我国未来茶产业发展虽受市场需求、生产要素双重制约,但仍有较大的发展空间。只要能正视问题、抓住机遇,加快转型升级,提升市场竞争力,我国茶产业仍能实现稳步发展。到2015年我国茶产业发展规模预计为178.5万t,2020年预计为220万t。

关键词: 茶产业, 茶叶, 发展规模, 市场需求, 供求影响因素

Abstract: This paper analyzed achievements and developing factors of Chinese tea industry since the 21th century and made predictive parsing to the external environment, supplying ability and demand of tea in five to ten years. It was considered, though the development of Chinese tea industry was restricted by market demand and production factors, that it would have a relative broad space for development. Chinese tea industry could develop steadily in future on the conditions to solve its present issues, grasp market chance, improve competitive ability and quicken the pace of upgrade. It was predicted that the total tea output of China would be 1785000 tons in 2015 and 2200000 tons in 2020.

Key words: tea Industry, tea, development scale, market demand, factor on demand and supply

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